Startups have to commit, ahead of time, that regardless of what comes out of testing of the MVP, they will not give up their hopes. Successful entrepreneurs do not give up at the first sign of trouble, nor do they persevere the plane right into the ground. Instead, they possess a unique combination of perseverance and flexibility. The MVP is just the first step on a journey of learning. Down that road-after many iterations startups may learn that some element of their products or strategy are flawed and decide it is time to make a change, which is called a pivot, a different method for achieving their vision.
Startups are especially at risk when outside stakeholders and investors (especially corporate CFOs for internal projects) have a crisis of confidence.
In traditional management, a manager who promises to deliver something and fails to do so is in trouble. There are only two possible explanations: a failure of execution or a failure to plan appropriately. Both are equally inexcusable. Entrepreneurial managers face a difficult problem: because the plans and projections they make are full of uncertainty, how can they claim success when they inevitably fail to deliver what they promised?
The solution to this issue resides at the heart of the Lean Startup model. We all need a disciplined, systematic approach to figuring out if we’re making progress and discovering if we’re actually achieving validated learning. This system is called “innovation accounting” and it is a powerful alternative to traditional accounting designed specifically for startups.
At the beginning, a startup is little more than a model on a piece of paper. The financials in the business plan include projections of how many customers the company expects to attract, how much it will spend, and how much revenue and profit that will lead to. It’s an ideal that’s usually far from where the startup is in its early days.
A startup’s task is to rigorously measure where it is right now, confronting the hard truths that assessment reveals, and then devise experiments to learn how to move the real numbers closer to the ideal reflected in the business plan.
Employees and entrepreneurs tend to be optimistic by nature. They want to keep believing in their ideas even when the writing is on the wall. This is why the myth of perseverance is so dangerous.
Unfortunately, we don’t hear stories about the countless nameless others who persevered too long, leading their companies to failure.
People are accustomed to thinking of accounting as dry and boring, a necessary evil used primarily to prepare financial reports and survive audits, but that is because accounting is something that has become taken for granted.
Standard accounting is not helpful in evaluating entrepreneurs. Startups are too unpredictable for forecasts and milestones to be accurate.
Lost milestones are built the same way: hit a certain product milestone, maybe talk to a few customers, and see if the numbers go up. Unfortunately, this is not a good indicator of whether a startup is making progress. How do we know that the changes we’ve made are related to the results we’re seeing? More importantly, how do we know that we are drawing the right lessons from those changes?
To answer these kinds of questions, startups have a strong need for a new kind of accounting geared specifically to disruptive innovation. That’s what innovation accounting is.