Putting aside all the management school theory, business valuation is all about what a seller wants to receive for his business and what a buyer is prepared to pay.
Public companies have stock market valuations, which give a starting point for valuation and acquisition, but this is not the case for private companies. It is also important to realize that different buyers will attribute different values to the same company depending on what it means to them, what they want to do with the company after the close of the deal and how it fits with their existing business assets, i.e. what additional synergies they can gain in terms of higher revenues, lower costs, or greater profits from a combined entity. Comparative deals statistics are therefore relatively meaningless. Advisors can of course look at deals done by prospective buyers or involving similar companies in a similar sector at a similar point in the cycle, just to revalidate their own calculations.
The variables in such an analysis are such that either side can make a case to support their argument, particularly when discarding anomalous deals, whether high or low.
In essence, the seller will set out his high-value case and normally be prepared to accept a price lower than this, but probably with a fixed minimum. If you are a seller, it’s important for you to have this in your mind.
A buyer will present a low price scenario, particularly for his opening offer, and then move upwards from there in stages, trying to flush out the seller’s minimum price. The buyer will also have a maximum above which he will not or may not be able to go from the seller’s perspective.
Two or more buyers can be used against each other to create a competitive tension with one faced with the threat of not securing the deal.
At the end of all successful negotiations, there must be an overlap between the seller’s minimum price and the buyer’s maximum price and the advisor’s roles are often to help their respective clients close the gap until this agreement is reached.
Private equity buyers of a business are different to trade buyers in that they value a business from both the acquisition perspective and their exit perspective. It is important that private equity invest for a finite horizon, being 3–5 years in most cases hoping to double or triple their initial investment. This makes the process of business valuation more complex.
Firstly, PE buyer will look carefully at EBITDA and take on a view based on comparable deals and other market related information and establish the narrow multiple range they want to pay for the business. Their exit value is based on their desire to make a target hurdle rate of return. In essence, most private equity firms aim to double their capital investment in three years and triple it in five. This equates to an internal rate of return of approximately 30%, but be careful with IRRs as they are very time-dependent and cash multiples are a much safer way of looking at private equity returns.
An analyst at the PE firm will now prepare a detailed financial model of the business so that they can calculate the deal characteristics, evaluates scenarios particularly on the downside and confirm their offer price. This model always includes sources and uses of funds, where the package of finance for the deal is coming from and how it’s being spent, and a returns’ analysis to see how the sales proceeds are ultimately allocated to ensure that the PE firm makes their targeted return.
As mentioned earlier, deals involving PE firms and MBOs will often use some bank debt to fund the deal, provided by an independent bank, by the PE firm itself. It will also involve contribution of equity in exchange for cash paid to the owner of the business, and there may be deferred consideration or an earn-out for the seller. This adds to the complexity of the deal structure and the returns calculations become more difficult.
Private equity firms always assess a deal on a standalone basis, even if they intend to combine the business they’re acquiring with an existing portfolio company.
It is important to mention here that trade buyers, being buyers other than PE firms, will also consider business synergies, revenue and profit enhancement and cost savings more readily. Trade buyers are normally driven by business factors and strategic issues. They are looking to combine the business being sold with their existing business or businesses and to create a stronger and more profitable entity from the combination in pricing the deal. They may be prepared to share some, but rarely all of these benefits with the seller by paying a higher price.
Private equity or financial buyers are driven much more by financial considerations and apply the following criteria when selecting a target business to invest in:
- Market scale – look for an established business such as a market leader or close to market leader, position in the market such as having a unique niche or larger segment of the market
- Market position – look for a target company that stands out from competition, is unique, and differentiated market position (either by product characteristics and/or by sales channels)
- Growth potential – look for a company that performs better than competition, has significant growth potential driven by overall market growth and/or by increasing its overall market penetration
- Product and technology – look for a company that has excellent competencies in new product development (R&D) and/or production technology (e.g. automation, patents)
- Streamlined operations – look for a target that has a track-record of driving increased productivity, quality, mature production culture and organization
- Quality of the management as this is the team that is going to execute the business plan around which the whole deal is built in a trade sale.